![]() To start, we looked at events that featured one or more disguises but did not specifically feature Ditto. Over the course of our study, we examined various in-game events and how they might affect the Ditto rate. Might this change during events featuring either Ditto or one of its disguises? Disguise and Ditto Featured Events In general, this means each disguise has the same chance of turning into Ditto. We failed to reject the null hypothesis that Ditto was found in equal proportions across the tested disguises (χ²(5) = 4.2, p = 0.52). The graph below shows the rate we observed for each disguise. Ditto Rate Across SpeciesĪfter determining the overall Ditto rate, we examined the rate for each disguise species that had met its goal of 600 or more observations (Drowzee, Ekans, Gastly, Lillipup, Natu, and Surskit). We examined several factors, and here’s what we discovered. With a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 1.78 to 2.25%.Īt 1 in 50 odds, this makes Ditto quite a rare encounter indeed! Ever the avid Ditto hunters, we were curious if there might be a trick or strategy to improve the odds of a Ditto encounter. Our study found the overall Ditto rate across all available disguises to be: We define Ditto rate as the proportion of eligible disguises that are secretly Ditto. Our primary goal in this study was to determine the “Ditto rate”. For more details on our data collection and flee correction methods, see the appendix. This gave us an indication of the total number of disguises - and number of Ditto - our researchers came across while out in the field. We applied a flee correction method that proportionally splits the number of flees between Ditto and disguises based on the Base Catch Rate (BCR) and Base Flee Rate (BFR) for each species. Researchers also detailed how many of those disguises turned into Ditto, the number of shiny disguises, and the number of shiny Ditto that they found on their travels.įrom these Pokédex numbers, we were able to determine the total number of encounters that fled. They recorded how many disguises they caught and how many they saw as shown in their Pokédex entries. To work out how many of those possible disguises were secretly Ditto, Silph Researchers attempted to catch every eligible disguise they encountered until it was caught or fled. ![]() ![]() ![]() Ditto likely uses the permaboosted shiny rate of 1 in 64.ĭitto takes the form of one of a small group of Pokémon disguises, appearing as the disguise both on the map and in the encounter screen. ![]() Around 2% of all Pokémon disguise species encountered in the wild are Ditto.Let’s see what they have unveiled! Key Findings A small group of Silph researchers spent five months tracking down over 13,000 Ditto disguises and have made some transformational discoveries. In today’s article, we Defog some of the mysteries behind Ditto. On top of that, its rarity and low catch rate make Ditto one slippery mark to capture. Because Ditto typically appear in disguise as another Pokémon and the available disguises change frequently, travelers are frequently unaware of when and how often they encounter a Ditto in the wild. Ditto - the Transform Pokémon - has been one of the most elusive and least understood encounters in Pokémon GO since its release all the way back in November 2016. ![]()
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